Wins and losses — no cherry-picking. Results graded the morning after games complete using final scores.
Graded daily · Results updated each morning after games finish
High Confidence Picks · Confidence score 60+ · Edge-driven selections with strong market signals
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Record (W-L-P)
Click to view over time
+24.8%
ROI on Bets
Above 0 = profitable
+$218
Net Profit
Tracked from $1,000 initial MVP bet bankroll
+77
Avg Odds
Positive = underdog lean · Negative = heavy favorite lean
Win Record Over Time
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Performance by Sport · All Tracked Markets
Sport
Record
Win %
Profit
ROI
By Bet Type
Type
Record
ROI
By Confidence Level
Level
Record
Win %
ROI
Understanding Confidence Scores
High ConfidenceScore 60–100
Strong edge detected across multiple data points. Sharp-book consensus diverges meaningfully from the recommended book price. These are our primary recommendations and what "Our Recommendations" reflects.
Medium ConfidenceScore 45–59
A real edge exists but the signal is thinner. Smaller bet sizing applies. Included in Premium and Elite full card but not in "Our Recommendations" default view.
Low ConfidenceScore <45
Speculative — odds discrepancy exists but limited supporting data. Tracked for model calibration. Elite subscribers see these for context only; they are not primary recommendations.
Our Recommendations vs All Picks · High Confidence Only
★ Our Recommendations · High Confidence (60+)
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ROI
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Profit
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Win %
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Picks
All Picks (incl. Medium & Low Confidence)
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ROI
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Profit
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Win %
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Picks
Where We Found Edge · 9 Sportsbooks Scanned (High Confidence Picks Only)
We scan all 9 US books to find the best available price on each pick. My Value Prop is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or partnered with any sportsbook.
Full Bet Log
Scroll right on mobile to view all columns · Green/red = result only
Date
Pick
Result
P&L
League
Type
Conf
Edge
Odds
Bet
Important Disclosures
My Value Prop is an entertainment and sports media newsletter. We are not a sportsbook, betting platform, financial adviser, or investment service. We do not accept bets, wagers, or deposits of any kind.
All picks are for informational and entertainment purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Sports betting involves substantial risk of financial loss. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your own betting decisions.
Always verify line availability at your sportsbook before wagering — lines move. My Value Prop is not responsible for line changes between publication and bet placement. We are not affiliated with or compensated by any sportsbook listed on this page.
Sports betting may not be legal in your jurisdiction. It is your responsibility to know and comply with the laws of your state or country. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-522-4700 (National Council on Problem Gambling).